幼稚園和小學停課！
昨晚陶傑說一定要停課，今晚真的突然宣佈停課。
做了這麼年人，香港好像是第一次因為流感而停課。這也是好事，有些小學已有一成學生請病假*，情況似乎不樂觀。不過公共衛生的問題，小弟完全不在行，作為普通市民，只能信任掌握資源和資訊的政府（雖然政府不一定可信）。深入分析可參考方大的文章[連結]。
印象中敝校很少學生請假－－跟平日一樣每班兩三人而已。相信中學生的抵抗力和衛生意識比小學生好得多。
家長不用擔心小朋友的學業，小朋友也不用開心得太早，因為停課的兩星期會在暑假扣除。
* 今天再細想，一成其實不過每班四人。一成很多會不會是錯覺，不敢武斷。
Comments (20)
即是延遲放暑假?
@wchung378 -
冇錯，夏天是很少有流感潮的。
哎喲，回想小朋友年代，一唔使返學就會很開心，可是原來要在暑假扣回
的確，又未到Pandemic程度，今次只係為左滿足某些人。
由其過身的小朋友，死因由表面睇真係同流感不太有關。
嗯，請教下Arnold Fong先。
你咁快知道暑假要扣假?!!
哎,如果係咁的話我地應該慶幸中學唔駛放..
咁暑假就唔駛俾人扣左喇哈哈哈-W-
教小學嘅老師應該會依依哦哦，早啲唔講宜家先講，都唔知點樣交代啲復活節作業先好。
is it really serious in hk???
我學校d小朋友都無幾個生病... 全校五個病假
我覺得有小小反應過敏
我個暑假點算.... 我的假期哦
@amoebien - Actually... I think not THAT serious...
通常春天都是流感高峰期，上升的數字可以解釋為流感真有社區爆發，但更有可能是社區恐慌爆發，令本來生病也不看醫生的，現在有事沒事也去急症室看看。
濫用急症室。
「在暑假扣除」不一定會扣除，因為部分學校考完試就「鳥獸散」...... 否則也大部分只是試後活動。
Purely in terms of figures, the present flu surge is no big deal. However, there're real concerns as to those (4?) cases that have led to death.
Frankly, when I was a kid, no matter how serious and extensive the flu epidemic, no attention was paid to it whether by the government, the schools or even the parents. Times have certainly changed, and both the public and the media have nowadays become rather hyper-sensitive...
I don't have children but I think the panic so-caused to the parents is understandable. What I query is the timing for the anouncement. Several of my colleagues only knew the suspension when they had almost arrived at school. They had to ring back home and tell the maid what to do.
The comment I tried to post to BBC.com:
There is nothing special here in fact. The silly, weak and useless Gov. has just over-reacted, totally a stupid move. Many of the teachers and pupils have been affected, and many are disappointed by such an irreponsible decision, including some of the bands which have been pratising for months for the 'originally-scheduled-to-be-in-progress' annual Music Festival (and other paticipants), some pupils whose schools were to hold their annual sports day today, etc. (According to the affected teachers and pupils themeselves.)
There is nothing to worry about as there isn't any situation here. It is not serious. The rise of number of patients reported may just be a result of the over-reaction of the public, as we Hong Kong people do not consult a doctor UNLESS VERY SICK usually, but would flock to one now with really minor things......
Nothing is worrying, perhaps except the unthinkabale government decisions.
問左Arnold，其文可見於 停課的公共衛生與政治考慮
陶傑其實係中央政策組的民間成員，所以佢點講政府就點做。
可以告訴你﹐如果每班都係一成﹐就一定唔係錯覺﹗
@bigarnex - 不明白為何一成人病了就是多。任何一次流感高峰期都應該有這種情況，希望我印象沒錯。
「每班都一成」又有何特別﹖
每班有四人病了恐怖﹖還是全校有兩班全部病倒恐怖﹖
我如果每班有一成人病了確是比平常多了﹐但沒有說是恐佈。也沒有規定多少人病了才應該停課﹐只是停課可以減低病毒傳播的風險罷了。
我已在自己的文章中展述了這次停課決定當中可能包含的政治計算。有興趣可以到我的xanga看看。
附加.... 我以前做幼兒園監測﹐因病缺席率全港平均3%叫做正常﹐到全港平均6%已經係流感高峰期。雖然做監測兩年唔夠﹐但全港平均10%的缺席率我係未見過。
@bigarnex - 謝回應。閣下的文章在上次回應前剛看過。
我猜按現在的情況，全港平均也許還是跟6%差不多(或許再高一點)。
因為現在說10%或以上的學校，並不代表全港，那些肯定是全港最嚴重的(所以才大叫大嚷)。如果按他們的說法估計全港平均，就等於引入抽樣誤差。
我們應該把另一邊沒有人出聲，比較少學生病的學校考慮在內，最後的全港平均缺席率應該會比10%低得多。
但如果可以指引學校，讓他們在某些情況下自行停課，影響會比全港停課少得多。
@Kursk - 其實七月還有一次。
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